Notes on capital
& markets.
Research and perspective from our institutional desk on global markets, sector dynamics, structured finance, and the forces shaping capital allocation.
The US AI capital super-cycle is acting as a black hole, pulling global institutional capital away from Indian equities. We examine the data, the drivers, and the inflection point.
Gujarat International Finance Tec-City is emerging as India's gateway for global capital. We assess its progress, its potential, and the opportunities it creates for market participants.
With over 70 IPOs in 2026 and domestic institutional participation at record levels, India's primary markets are rewriting the rules of global capital-raising.
India's central bank digital currency has crossed 300 million users. We examine the implications for payments, banking, and the future of money in the world's largest digital economy.
Geopolitical reconfiguration is accelerating corporate relocation across Asia. We map the investment corridors, the winning sectors, and the advisory opportunities this creates.
India's corporate capex surge — driven by PLI schemes, infrastructure build-out, and supply-chain relocation — is creating a multi-year credit demand wave that banks and bond markets are only beginning to price.
Federal Reserve policy, a strong dollar, and the IRA's industrial-policy gravity have created a sustained capital pull from Europe to the United States.
Private credit is on track to cross $2 trillion in 2026. The reason is not just bank retrenchment — it is a structural change in how risk is priced and held.
With regulatory reform, retail participation, and a widening investor base, India's corporate bond market is at an inflection point with far-reaching implications.
Higher-for-longer interest rates have reset the economics of project finance. We examine which asset classes remain viable and where restructured capital structures are emerging.
Singapore's regulatory framework, sovereign-wealth proximity, and bilingual deal capability make it the natural capital hub connecting South Asian growth with East Asian liquidity.
RBI's tightened capital norms and the systemic importance framework are accelerating consolidation in India's NBFC sector. We assess which categories are consolidating and why.
Hospital consolidation, diagnostics roll-ups, and pharma platform builds are converging into a single investment narrative across Indian healthcare.
Automated research pipelines, sentiment analytics, and real-time validation models are not replacing analysts — they are making them faster, broader, and more systematic.
With bond yields elevated, infrastructure assets offering 9-12% nominal returns with inflation-linked escalations are being re-rated by global institutional capital.
As Indian companies mature and global strategics seek growth, cross-border M&A into India is at an inflection — driven by valuation discipline, regulatory clarity, and deal experience.
A strong dollar compresses EM currency spreads but creates entry points for sophisticated investors. We examine the conditions under which EM debt becomes compelling.
Three listed REITs have opened the Indian commercial real estate market to institutional capital. We assess yield spreads, occupancy trends, and the pipeline of future listings.
Indian family offices are evolving from direct equity investors into sophisticated allocators across debt, alternatives, and co-investment structures — and they need the right advisory architecture.
Energy transition, supply chain reconfiguration, and India's infrastructure build-out are converging into a multi-decade commodity demand narrative that is under-appreciated by global capital.
With early-stage funding normalising, the growth equity window is widening for companies with proven unit economics and a path to profitability. We map the opportunity.
As RBI tightens the regulatory framework for payments and lending NBFCs, fintech valuations are adjusting. The winners will be those who build sustainable unit economics within compliance.
Sponsors are returning to structured instruments to bridge valuation gaps. We examine the current toolkit: mezzanine structures, PIK toggles, and the fine line between flexibility and risk.
GIC, Temasek, ADIA, and PIF are deploying capital into India at scale. We examine the sectors, ticket sizes, and co-investment structures that characterise this flow.
Standard DCF models struggle with India's high discount rates and volatile earnings. We propose a framework that blends discounted cash flow with real-options thinking for emerging-market contexts.
Trade fragmentation is accelerating the reorganisation of global supply chains. India's position in this new architecture is increasingly central — and increasingly investable.
India needs $10 trillion in energy transition investment by 2070. The financing gap between government targets and available capital creates a massive opportunity for structured finance and institutional investors.
Emerging market quant strategies face unique data challenges — but also unique alpha opportunities. We examine how to build robust quantitative models for Indian and ASEAN markets.