Investment Imperative
From the desk

Notes on capital
& markets.

Research and perspective from our institutional desk on global markets, sector dynamics, structured finance, and the forces shaping capital allocation.

Macro7 October 2026
The great FII exodus: why foreign capital is selling Indian equities — and when it will return.

The US AI capital super-cycle is acting as a black hole, pulling global institutional capital away from Indian equities. We examine the data, the drivers, and the inflection point.

Financial Services7 September 2026
GIFT City and the rise of India's international financial centre.

Gujarat International Finance Tec-City is emerging as India's gateway for global capital. We assess its progress, its potential, and the opportunities it creates for market participants.

Capital Markets7 August 2026
India's IPO boom: why global capital is choosing Mumbai over New York and London.

With over 70 IPOs in 2026 and domestic institutional participation at record levels, India's primary markets are rewriting the rules of global capital-raising.

Fintech7 July 2026
The digital rupee and the future of payments infrastructure in India.

India's central bank digital currency has crossed 300 million users. We examine the implications for payments, banking, and the future of money in the world's largest digital economy.

SE Asia7 June 2026
China+1 capital flows: where the next $200B of FDI will land in Asia.

Geopolitical reconfiguration is accelerating corporate relocation across Asia. We map the investment corridors, the winning sectors, and the advisory opportunities this creates.

India7 May 2026
India's capex multiplier: how record capital expenditure is reshaping the credit cycle.

India's corporate capex surge — driven by PLI schemes, infrastructure build-out, and supply-chain relocation — is creating a multi-year credit demand wave that banks and bond markets are only beginning to price.

Macro11 April 2026
The new transatlantic capital cycle: why U.S. liquidity is reshaping European industrial competitiveness.

Federal Reserve policy, a strong dollar, and the IRA's industrial-policy gravity have created a sustained capital pull from Europe to the United States.

Research Note28 April 2026
Private credit vs. traditional banking: the structural repricing of corporate financing.

Private credit is on track to cross $2 trillion in 2026. The reason is not just bank retrenchment — it is a structural change in how risk is priced and held.

India15 March 2026
India's corporate debt renaissance: why the domestic bond market is finally maturing.

With regulatory reform, retail participation, and a widening investor base, India's corporate bond market is at an inflection point with far-reaching implications.

Infrastructure2 February 2026
Project finance in the rate era: navigating the new normal for long-duration assets.

Higher-for-longer interest rates have reset the economics of project finance. We examine which asset classes remain viable and where restructured capital structures are emerging.

SE Asia20 January 2026
Singapore as the ASEAN capital corridor: why deal flow is migrating east.

Singapore's regulatory framework, sovereign-wealth proximity, and bilingual deal capability make it the natural capital hub connecting South Asian growth with East Asian liquidity.

Financial Services8 January 2026
NBFC consolidation in India: who survives the regulatory squeeze.

RBI's tightened capital norms and the systemic importance framework are accelerating consolidation in India's NBFC sector. We assess which categories are consolidating and why.

Healthcare18 December 2025
The healthcare platform playbook: consolidation across the care continuum.

Hospital consolidation, diagnostics roll-ups, and pharma platform builds are converging into a single investment narrative across Indian healthcare.

Technology5 December 2025
AI-native advisory: how quant infrastructure is reshaping sell-side research.

Automated research pipelines, sentiment analytics, and real-time validation models are not replacing analysts — they are making them faster, broader, and more systematic.

Infrastructure22 November 2025
Infrastructure yield: re-rating the asset class in a higher-rate environment.

With bond yields elevated, infrastructure assets offering 9-12% nominal returns with inflation-linked escalations are being re-rated by global institutional capital.

M&A10 November 2025
Cross-border M&A in India: the inbound opportunity is widening.

As Indian companies mature and global strategics seek growth, cross-border M&A into India is at an inflection — driven by valuation discipline, regulatory clarity, and deal experience.

Macro28 October 2025
Dollar strength and emerging market debt: opportunity or trap?

A strong dollar compresses EM currency spreads but creates entry points for sophisticated investors. We examine the conditions under which EM debt becomes compelling.

Real Estate15 October 2025
India's REIT evolution: from niche to mainstream institutional allocation.

Three listed REITs have opened the Indian commercial real estate market to institutional capital. We assess yield spreads, occupancy trends, and the pipeline of future listings.

Family Offices2 October 2025
Family office investing in India: from direct deals to structured mandates.

Indian family offices are evolving from direct equity investors into sophisticated allocators across debt, alternatives, and co-investment structures — and they need the right advisory architecture.

Commodities18 September 2025
Commodity supercycle revisited: structural demand shifts and India's role.

Energy transition, supply chain reconfiguration, and India's infrastructure build-out are converging into a multi-decade commodity demand narrative that is under-appreciated by global capital.

Venture5 September 2025
Growth equity in India: the Series C and beyond opportunity.

With early-stage funding normalising, the growth equity window is widening for companies with proven unit economics and a path to profitability. We map the opportunity.

Fintech22 August 2025
Fintech valuation discipline: revenue multiples meet regulatory reality.

As RBI tightens the regulatory framework for payments and lending NBFCs, fintech valuations are adjusting. The winners will be those who build sustainable unit economics within compliance.

Structured Finance8 August 2025
Structured finance 2025: mezzanine, PIK, and the return of covenant-lite.

Sponsors are returning to structured instruments to bridge valuation gaps. We examine the current toolkit: mezzanine structures, PIK toggles, and the fine line between flexibility and risk.

Sovereign25 July 2025
Sovereign wealth in the Global South: capital deployment patterns and India's position.

GIC, Temasek, ADIA, and PIF are deploying capital into India at scale. We examine the sectors, ticket sizes, and co-investment structures that characterise this flow.

Research12 July 2025
Valuation methodology: when DCF meets Indian market realities.

Standard DCF models struggle with India's high discount rates and volatile earnings. We propose a framework that blends discounted cash flow with real-options thinking for emerging-market contexts.

Macro28 June 2025
Deglobalization and the new capital architecture: friendshoring, near-shoring, and India.

Trade fragmentation is accelerating the reorganisation of global supply chains. India's position in this new architecture is increasingly central — and increasingly investable.

Energy14 June 2025
Energy transition in India: the financing gap and the institutional opportunity.

India needs $10 trillion in energy transition investment by 2070. The financing gap between government targets and available capital creates a massive opportunity for structured finance and institutional investors.

Quant1 June 2025
Quantitative research in emerging markets: data challenges and alpha opportunities.

Emerging market quant strategies face unique data challenges — but also unique alpha opportunities. We examine how to build robust quantitative models for Indian and ASEAN markets.